Umia vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UDA
5 - 1
UMI
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UMI
1 - 0
PON
32%
24%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 2
UMI
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UMI
0 - 2
BAR
20%
22%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PON
3 - 1
UMI
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
CAM
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHO
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
MOA
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
CHO
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UDA
1 - 0
CHO
38%
25%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |