UMECIT vs Colón C-3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
7º
6º
8
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 0
UME
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 3
IND
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 7
UME
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TAU
0 - 1
UME
60%
26%
15%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 3
UME
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
COL
1 - 8
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
COL
1 - 7
TFC
11%
19%
70%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
AFC
25%
20%
55%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 2
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PCF
5 - 1
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |