Umeå vs Vasalunds IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BKF
0 - 2
UME
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UME
4 - 0
SYR
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 0
UME
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
UME
0 - 3
AFC
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DAL
2 - 0
UME
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vasalunds IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 2
AKR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VAS
4 - 1
BKF
50%
24%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
VAS
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BOD
1 - 4
VAS
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VAS
4 - 0
HAM
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |