Umeå vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
KAR
2 - 1
UME
27%
25%
49%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
UME
3 - 0
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
RYN
1 - 2
UME
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UME
1 - 0
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BKF
1 - 2
UME
35%
25%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
GEF
2 - 1
THO
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
KAR
1 - 2
GEF
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
GEF
0 - 2
SYL
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
KAR
1 - 1
GEF
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GEF
3 - 0
BBK
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |