Umeå vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 0
UME
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
UME
0 - 1
ENK
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
DEG
3 - 1
UME
44%
24%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
SYL
3 - 1
UME
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
UME
1 - 1
GIF
43%
23%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
GEF
3 - 2
GIF
24%
25%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
IKB
2 - 1
GEF
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GEF
2 - 1
IFK
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1999 |
SIR
3 - 3
GEF
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
GEF
0 - 0
VAS
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |