Division 1 North Round 21

Umeå vs BK Forward analysis

Umeå BK Forward
51 ELO 49
5.9% Tilt 4.2%
3316º General ELO ranking 6866º
38º Country ELO ranking 105º
ELO win probability
47.8%
Umeå
23%
Draw
29.2%
BK Forward

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
Umeå
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.2%
Win probability
BK Forward
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Umeå
-23%
+59%
BK Forward

ELO progression

Umeå
BK Forward
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Umeå
Umeå
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2018
VAS
Västerås SK
3 - 1
Umeå
UME
61%
21%
18%
51 56 5 0
27 Aug. 2018
UME
Umeå
1 - 0
Skellefteå
SKE
67%
19%
15%
50 42 8 +1
19 Aug. 2018
ASI
Arameiska / Syrianska
0 - 1
Umeå
UME
29%
24%
48%
50 41 9 0
22 Jul. 2018
UME
Umeå
0 - 3
Akropolis
AKR
38%
24%
37%
51 54 3 -1
14 Jul. 2018
UME
Umeå
2 - 4
Sollentuna
SOL
67%
19%
14%
52 45 7 -1

Matches

BK Forward
BK Forward
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2018
BKF
BK Forward
3 - 1
Linköping City
LIN
37%
24%
39%
48 51 3 0
25 Aug. 2018
KAR
Karlslunds IF
3 - 1
BK Forward
BKF
31%
24%
45%
49 45 4 -1
18 Aug. 2018
BKF
BK Forward
0 - 1
Syrianska FC
SYR
43%
24%
33%
50 51 1 -1
21 Jul. 2018
BKF
BK Forward
2 - 1
Skellefteå
SKE
65%
19%
17%
50 43 7 0
14 Jul. 2018
ASS
Assyriska FF
0 - 3
BK Forward
BKF
39%
24%
38%
49 45 4 +1