Umbrete vs San Martin C.D. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
59%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umbrete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 1
UMB
79%
13%
8%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UMB
0 - 3
GUI
18%
22%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 4
UMB
49%
22%
29%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UMB
0 - 0
CIR
38%
22%
40%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
HER
7 - 1
UMB
43%
22%
35%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Martin C.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
PIN
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAR
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
MOT
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESP
39%
21%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 1
MAR
50%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |