Copa Federacion . Last 16
Global 4-2
UM Escobedo vs Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
TRO
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 3
ESC
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
UPL
0 - 3
ESC
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ESC
5 - 0
BEZ
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 0
SEL
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 1
UPL
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
UPL
1 - 1
ROB
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
UPL
0 - 3
ESC
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
UPL
3 - 0
ROC
86%
11%
3%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 3
UPL
9%
18%
74%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | +1 |