UM Escobedo vs Siete Villas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
4º
3º
38
3º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 1
ESC
29%
25%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 1
SDT
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GAM
1 - 0
ESC
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
3 - 1
TEX
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ESC
3 - 1
ALB
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Siete Villas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 2
TRO
19%
20%
62%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 1
SIE
41%
26%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 1
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
SIE
36%
26%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 5
CAY
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |