UM Escobedo vs Noja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
62.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CAY
3 - 1
ESC
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ESC
0 - 1
LAR
28%
27%
45%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ESC
0 - 0
DEV
30%
28%
42%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 0
ESC
67%
20%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ESC
1 - 3
PON
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
NOJ
4 - 0
VEL
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
PON
1 - 5
NOJ
15%
24%
61%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
NOJ
2 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
CDO
4 - 1
NOJ
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 3
NOJ
12%
24%
64%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | +1 |