Tercera Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 1-4
UM Escobedo vs Deportivo Alavés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 1
ESC
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 0
YEC
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
YEC
6 - 0
ESC
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SIE
0 - 1
ESC
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ESC
3 - 2
ALB
87%
10%
4%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 1
ESC
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
COM
3 - 2
ALA
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 0
COM
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CLU
1 - 2
ALA
12%
22%
66%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 3
AMU
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |