UM Escobedo vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
REO
3 - 1
ESC
17%
24%
59%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 1
ESC
21%
26%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ESC
3 - 1
BEZ
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CAS
0 - 2
ESC
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ESC
4 - 0
SAN
75%
18%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CAS
0 - 2
GIM
17%
24%
59%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRA
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
CAY
2 - 3
CAS
23%
27%
50%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CAS
0 - 2
ESC
26%
26%
48%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SOL
1 - 1
CAS
22%
27%
51%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |