UM Escobedo vs Atco. Deva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
RIB
0 - 1
ESC
68%
20%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ESC
1 - 1
BAR
23%
28%
49%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
REO
2 - 2
ESC
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
REO
5 - 2
ESC
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ESC
0 - 1
BAR
27%
28%
45%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Atco. Deva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
DEV
1 - 2
NOJ
8%
20%
72%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
TEX
3 - 2
DEV
46%
27%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
DEV
1 - 0
PON
40%
29%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
DEV
1 - 2
MIN
43%
26%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PON
2 - 1
DEV
49%
25%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |