K-League Classic Normal Season Round 33

Ulsan HD FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC analysis

Ulsan HD FC Gimcheon Sangmu FC
76 ELO 75
4.3% Tilt -5.1%
1101º General ELO ranking 1020º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.4%
Ulsan HD FC
25.3%
Draw
29.3%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
Ulsan HD FC
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.3%
Win probability
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ulsan HD FC
-3%
+11%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Points and table prediction

Ulsan HD FC
Their league position
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
56
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ulsan HD FC
61
61
100%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
56
56
100%
Gangwon FC
55
55
100%
Pohang Steelers
51
51
100%
FC Seoul
50
50
100%
Suwon FC
49
49
100%
Gwangju FC
43
43
100%
Jeju United
41
41
100%
Daegu FC
38
38
100%
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Daejeon Citizen
11º
35
35
11º
100%
Incheon United
12º
32
32
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ulsan HD FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Play-offs for the title
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ulsan HD FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ulsan HD FC
Ulsan HD FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2024
YFM
Yokohama F. Marinos
4 - 0
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
67%
19%
15%
76 81 5 0
27 Sep. 2024
DCI
Daejeon Citizen
0 - 1
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
45%
26%
29%
76 76 0 0
22 Sep. 2024
INC
Incheon United
0 - 0
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
38%
28%
34%
76 76 0 0
18 Sep. 2024
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
0 - 1
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
30%
24%
46%
76 83 7 0
13 Sep. 2024
ULS
Ulsan HD FC
2 - 0
Gangwon FC
GAN
49%
25%
25%
76 76 0 0

Matches

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2024
SAN
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2 - 0
Gwangju FC
GWA
46%
25%
29%
76 76 0 0
21 Sep. 2024
SUW
Suwon FC
2 - 4
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
52%
23%
25%
76 76 0 0
15 Sep. 2024
SAN
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2 - 0
Incheon United
INC
47%
25%
28%
76 76 0 0
01 Sep. 2024
JEJ
Jeju United
1 - 0
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SAN
40%
26%
34%
76 74 2 0
25 Aug. 2024
SAN
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2 - 2
Daejeon Citizen
DCI
44%
25%
31%
76 76 0 0