Oberliga Baden-Württemberg round 23

Ulm vs FC 08 Villingen analysis

Ulm FC 08 Villingen
37 ELO 22
4.1% Tilt -0.1%
1003º General ELO ranking 5600º
39º Country ELO ranking 190º
ELO win probability
82.5%
Ulm
12%
Draw
5.5%
FC 08 Villingen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
Ulm
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.5%
Win probability
FC 08 Villingen
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ulm
+55%
+16%
FC 08 Villingen

ELO progression

Ulm
FC 08 Villingen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ulm
Ulm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2016
FRE
Freiburger FC
0 - 4
Ulm
ULM
36%
23%
41%
37 30 7 0
27 Feb. 2016
ULM
Ulm
4 - 1
Hollenbach
HOL
69%
18%
13%
36 30 6 +1
20 Feb. 2016
SAN
Sandhausen II
2 - 2
Ulm
ULM
22%
21%
57%
36 25 11 0
05 Dec. 2015
ULM
Ulm
2 - 0
Oberachern
OBE
72%
16%
13%
37 28 9 -1
28 Nov. 2015
KEH
Kehler FV
0 - 2
Ulm
ULM
19%
23%
57%
36 25 11 +1

Matches

FC 08 Villingen
FC 08 Villingen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2016
BAL
TSG Balingen
1 - 2
FC 08 Villingen
VIL
67%
20%
14%
22 30 8 0
12 Dec. 2015
VIL
FC 08 Villingen
1 - 1
Stuttgarter Kickers II
STU
35%
23%
42%
22 27 5 0
05 Dec. 2015
NOT
Nottingen
5 - 0
FC 08 Villingen
VIL
87%
9%
4%
22 41 19 0
28 Nov. 2015
VIL
FC 08 Villingen
3 - 1
Pfullendorf
PFU
78%
14%
8%
22 15 7 0
21 Nov. 2015
VIL
FC 08 Villingen
2 - 0
Freiberg
FRE
33%
23%
44%
20 27 7 +2