SSV Ulm vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VFR
2 - 2
ULM
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ULM
0 - 0
HES
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
REU
3 - 1
ULM
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
ULM
4 - 1
BAY
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
FRA
3 - 1
ULM
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NUR
1 - 0
DAR
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
186
2 - 0
NUR
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NUR
1 - 2
WEI
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
WEH
1 - 2
NUR
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
HEI
0 - 3
NUR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |