Oberliga Baden-Württemberg Round 19

SSV Ulm vs Freiberg analysis

SSV Ulm Freiberg
54 ELO 40
18.6% Tilt 3.3%
718º General ELO ranking 1797º
42º Country ELO ranking 74º
ELO win probability
76.1%
SSV Ulm
14.9%
Draw
9%
Freiberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
SSV Ulm
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9%
Win probability
Freiberg
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SSV Ulm
-9%
+57%
Freiberg

ELO progression

SSV Ulm
Freiberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SSV Ulm
SSV Ulm
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2007
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
1 - 0
SSV Ulm
ULM
26%
26%
49%
53 43 10 0
01 Dec. 2007
ULM
SSV Ulm
1 - 1
Hoffenheim II
HOF
76%
15%
9%
54 42 12 -1
24 Nov. 2007
BAH
Bahlinger SC
0 - 3
SSV Ulm
ULM
15%
22%
63%
54 28 26 0
17 Nov. 2007
ULM
SSV Ulm
1 - 0
Stuttgarter Kickers II
STU
86%
10%
4%
54 24 30 0
09 Nov. 2007
KIR
Kirchheim/Teck
0 - 1
SSV Ulm
ULM
12%
21%
68%
54 23 31 0

Matches

Freiberg
Freiberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2007
FRE
Freiberg
2 - 1
VfR Mannheim
VFR
75%
16%
9%
40 24 16 0
01 Dec. 2007
AST
Astoria Walldorf
1 - 3
Freiberg
FRE
50%
24%
26%
39 41 2 +1
24 Nov. 2007
FRE
Freiberg
4 - 0
Freiburg II
FRE
29%
27%
44%
36 45 9 +3
17 Nov. 2007
HEI
Heidenheim
0 - 0
Freiberg
FRE
74%
16%
10%
35 48 13 +1
10 Nov. 2007
FRE
Freiberg
5 - 0
Schwieberdingen 1906
SCH
74%
16%
10%
35 21 14 0