SSV Ulm vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
CRA
2 - 2
ULM
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
ULM
3 - 1
BAH
83%
11%
5%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
BON
2 - 3
ULM
17%
22%
62%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
ULM
3 - 1
FVL
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
VFR
2 - 2
ULM
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FRE
1 - 2
HEI
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
FRE
2 - 0
VFR
28%
27%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
REU
3 - 1
FRE
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
FRE
3 - 4
HEI
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
LUD
0 - 0
FRE
35%
25%
39%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |