Ullern vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
82.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
ULL
1 - 0
JEV
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
HBK
1 - 2
ULL
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ULL
2 - 1
LOR
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +4 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ULL
1 - 4
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ULL
0 - 1
LYN
13%
19%
69%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | -2 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VIF
2 - 1
ELP
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
IKS
1 - 0
VIF
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
FRI
1 - 6
VIF
9%
17%
73%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VIF
0 - 3
STR
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
ODD
2 - 0
VIF
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |