Ullern vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
MJO
5 - 4
ULL
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ULL
2 - 1
LOM
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
JEV
5 - 0
ULL
44%
22%
35%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
ULL
6 - 2
HBK
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 0
ULL
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
5 - 2
BAE
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
4 - 0
MJO
81%
12%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
LOM
1 - 2
MOD
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 1
JEV
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
HBK
0 - 4
MOD
17%
20%
62%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |