Ullern vs Mo IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OPP
0 - 0
ULL
75%
15%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SKE
2 - 0
ULL
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
KVI
3 - 1
ULL
68%
19%
12%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ULL
0 - 3
FOL
12%
18%
70%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KFU
2 - 1
ULL
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MOI
0 - 6
BOG
7%
14%
80%
|
29 | 69 | 40 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MOI
1 - 5
SKE
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
MOI
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
MOI
30%
20%
50%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOI
1 - 2
GRO
17%
21%
63%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |