Ulaanbaatar City vs Tuv Azarganuud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
37%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
8º
6º
33
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulaanbaatar City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
ULA
1 - 0
ULC
63%
18%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ULC
4 - 3
DER
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 2
ULC
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
KHO
5 - 0
ULC
23%
19%
58%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ULC
0 - 1
KHC
74%
15%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tuv Azarganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TBF
6 - 1
BCH
91%
7%
3%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
ULA
3 - 1
TBF
57%
19%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TBF
2 - 1
ERC
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
KHC
4 - 5
TBF
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DER
3 - 1
TBF
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |