Ulaanbaatar City vs FC Deren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulaanbaatar City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
ATF
0 - 4
ULC
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
ULC
1 - 1
KHC
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
BCH
2 - 8
ULC
14%
17%
69%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ULC
3 - 3
KHA
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
ULC
2 - 0
TBF
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
DER
1 - 4
ERC
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
ULA
2 - 3
DER
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
SPF
45%
22%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
TBF
2 - 1
DER
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
ATF
0 - 1
DER
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |