NB I Round 4

Újpest FC vs Pécsi MFC analysis

Újpest FC Pécsi MFC
79 ELO 73
15.5% Tilt 4.3%
891º General ELO ranking 4125º
Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
65.2%
Újpest FC
20.3%
Draw
14.5%
Pécsi MFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
Újpest FC
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.5%
Win probability
Pécsi MFC
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Újpest FC
-11%
-8%
Pécsi MFC

ELO progression

Újpest FC
Pécsi MFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Újpest FC
Újpest FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2005
REA
REAC
2 - 3
Újpest FC
UJP
38%
27%
36%
79 75 4 0
06 Aug. 2005
UJP
Újpest FC
2 - 2
Budapesti Vasas
VAS
72%
17%
11%
79 66 13 0
31 Jul. 2005
DIO
Diósgyőr VTK
0 - 1
Újpest FC
UJP
32%
26%
42%
79 69 10 0
26 May. 2005
DIO
Diósgyőr VTK
1 - 3
Újpest FC
UJP
36%
26%
38%
79 70 9 0
22 May. 2005
UJP
Újpest FC
4 - 1
Györ ETO
GYO
55%
23%
22%
79 78 1 0

Matches

Pécsi MFC
Pécsi MFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2005
PEC
Pécsi MFC
0 - 1
Györ ETO
GYO
42%
27%
31%
74 78 4 0
06 Aug. 2005
MTK
MTK Budapest
2 - 0
Pécsi MFC
PEC
54%
25%
21%
74 79 5 0
30 Jul. 2005
PEC
Pécsi MFC
2 - 1
Kaposvari Rakoczi
KAP
62%
22%
16%
74 65 9 0
26 May. 2005
PEC
Pécsi MFC
5 - 0
Békéscsaba
BEK
62%
22%
16%
75 65 10 -1
21 May. 2005
DVS
Debreceni VSC
3 - 1
Pécsi MFC
PEC
62%
22%
16%
75 79 4 0