Uganda vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
KEN
2 - 1
UGA
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
ETH
2 - 1
UGA
45%
23%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
ETH
0 - 1
UGA
48%
23%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
UGA
3 - 5
KEN
60%
20%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZIM
50%
23%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1983 |
QAT
3 - 1
SDN
60%
20%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1983 |
GHA
3 - 1
SDN
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1983 |
SDN
1 - 1
NZL
37%
23%
40%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
KEN
2 - 0
SDN
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
ZAM
2 - 0
SDN
71%
16%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |