African Nations Championship Group B Round 3

Uganda vs Côte d'Ivoire analysis

Uganda Côte d'Ivoire
70 ELO 85
-19% Tilt -20.1%
1754º General ELO ranking 278º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.1%
Uganda
23.1%
Draw
61.7%
Côte d'Ivoire

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
Uganda
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.7%
Win probability
Côte d'Ivoire
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Uganda
+7%
+1%
Côte d'Ivoire

ELO progression

Uganda
Côte d'Ivoire
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Uganda
Uganda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2023
SEN
Senegal
0 - 1
Uganda
UGA
76%
17%
8%
70 85 15 0
14 Jan. 2023
COD
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
0 - 0
Uganda
UGA
53%
25%
23%
70 71 1 0
05 Jan. 2023
UGA
Uganda
1 - 1
Cameroon
CMR
24%
28%
48%
69 82 13 +1
24 Sep. 2022
TAN
Tanzania
1 - 0
Uganda
UGA
28%
27%
46%
70 60 10 -1
21 Sep. 2022
LBY
Libya
0 - 0
Uganda
UGA
36%
26%
37%
70 64 6 0

Matches

Côte d'Ivoire
Côte d'Ivoire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2023
COD
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
0 - 0
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
19%
24%
57%
85 71 14 0
14 Jan. 2023
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
0 - 1
Senegal
SEN
50%
24%
26%
85 85 0 0
19 Nov. 2022
BFA
Burkina Faso
2 - 1
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
24%
27%
49%
85 76 9 0
16 Nov. 2022
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
4 - 0
Burundi
BDI
83%
13%
5%
85 58 27 0
27 Sep. 2022
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
3 - 1
Guinea
GUI
69%
19%
12%
85 74 11 0