Thalgau vs Puch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
1º
38
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
UFV
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
UFV
4 - 0
HAL
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
UFV
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 3
UFV
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
UFV
2 - 3
TSV
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PUC
2 - 3
TSV
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
BER
1 - 3
PUC
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PUC
0 - 2
SKA
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 3
PUC
19%
19%
62%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PUC
2 - 4
BUR
26%
23%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |