Thalgau vs Golling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
UFV
78%
13%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
UFV
3 - 0
ALT
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ZEL
4 - 0
UFV
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UFV
4 - 2
SKS
36%
22%
43%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SVA
4 - 2
UFV
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Golling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GOL
1 - 2
SAL
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
KUC
3 - 0
GOL
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
PUC
4 - 3
GOL
17%
19%
65%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 5
GOL
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GOL
1 - 1
USC
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |