Thalgau vs Bramberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
44.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
14º
10º
59
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
92.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
92.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
PUC
3 - 1
UFV
48%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UFV
3 - 3
STR
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 3
UFV
14%
17%
70%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UFV
5 - 2
HAL
75%
14%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ANI
0 - 0
UFV
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bramberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 1
GRO
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
USC
3 - 1
BRA
40%
23%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 5
SEE
10%
17%
74%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 0
TSV
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
PUC
3 - 2
BRA
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |