UFC Maria Alm vs USC Eugendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
67.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ASK
3 - 0
UMA
64%
20%
17%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
KUC
4 - 1
UMA
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UMA
2 - 3
STR
28%
25%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
SCL
1 - 1
UMA
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
UMA
0 - 3
HAL
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
USC Eugendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
USC
2 - 0
KUC
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
STR
2 - 3
USC
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
USC
4 - 2
SCL
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
HAL
3 - 2
USC
52%
23%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
USC
0 - 1
WAL
47%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |