Quart vs Fornells UE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
QRT
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
QRT
3 - 1
GSA
18%
19%
63%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SEE
1 - 5
QRT
43%
22%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
QRT
1 - 0
LPR
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SPP
1 - 0
QRT
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fornells UE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 1
SJL
24%
21%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 1
FOR
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 2
ARB
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
HOS
3 - 4
FOR
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 1
CAL
25%
21%
54%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +3 |