Quart vs Celra A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
QRT
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
QRT
3 - 0
GSA
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
QRT
3 - 2
SJL
28%
22%
51%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 0
QRT
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
QRT
3 - 2
ARB
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celra A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 0
SPB
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AME
2 - 2
CEL
39%
22%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LPR
1 - 2
CEL
42%
23%
36%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 0
QRT
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SJL
3 - 0
CEL
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |