Quart vs Calonge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BSB
1 - 0
QRT
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
QRT
3 - 2
SJO
51%
21%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 3
QRT
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
QRT
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
QRT
1 - 2
UEL
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Calonge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 0
PAL
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UEL
2 - 2
CAL
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAL
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 0
EMP
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |