Lleida vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
FCB
1 - 1
LLE
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
LLE
4 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
LLE
1 - 2
MLL
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
EIB
1 - 1
LLE
32%
31%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1995 |
GRA
0 - 2
LLE
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
HER
1 - 2
ECI
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
HER
0 - 0
ELC
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
OSA
0 - 1
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
HER
3 - 0
GET
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1995 |
ELC
0 - 1
HER
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +2 |