Sanse C vs Carranza B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+917%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanse C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SSD
2 - 1
UDS
27%
20%
54%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FBC
1 - 10
UDS
7%
13%
80%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UDS
6 - 0
VAL
91%
7%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAZ
1 - 3
UDS
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
UDS
6 - 0
BBA
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carranza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
PBT
58%
19%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
MSP
77%
13%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MSI
4 - 2
CAR
19%
18%
63%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
UNI
62%
17%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 2
VAL
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |