Udinese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 0
UDI
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
UDI
1 - 1
CAG
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 2
UDI
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
UDI
4 - 0
PAD
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
UDI
2 - 1
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 1
INT
13%
23%
64%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BOL
2 - 0
LEC
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 0
LEC
73%
16%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
LEC
3 - 2
SIE
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 1
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |