Sax vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
UDF
1 - 2
ATL
47%
21%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
UDF
2 - 2
CIU
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 1
UDF
49%
22%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ELD
5 - 2
UDF
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
UDF
2 - 3
VIL
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 3
PET
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
PET
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
PET
2 - 2
CSA
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PET
0 - 1
ISJ
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CDI
2 - 4
PET
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |