Sax vs Montaverner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
UDF
5 - 1
BEN
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
UDF
2 - 3
ONT
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 0
ALT
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
UDF
41%
24%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 1
SPO
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Montaverner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CTS
4 - 0
MON
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
MON
4 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
SPO
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
MON
73%
17%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MON
3 - 3
UEG
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |