Sax vs Montaverner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
UDF
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 0
MOI
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 3
UDF
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
UDF
3 - 0
AYO
84%
10%
5%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
UDF
53%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montaverner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MON
5 - 0
VIL
76%
15%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AYO
4 - 2
MON
19%
22%
59%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
REA
2 - 3
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
FON
40%
21%
39%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PET
2 - 0
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |