Sax vs Novelda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+179%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 7
UDF
19%
21%
61%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
UDF
3 - 0
AGO
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ONI
2 - 3
UDF
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UDF
4 - 3
ELD
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
UDF
27%
23%
51%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AGO
3 - 4
NOV
13%
18%
68%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 0
ELD
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ASP
1 - 3
NOV
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 0
RAC
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 3
NOV
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |