Sax vs Idella A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ASP
5 - 0
UDF
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UDF
2 - 6
RAV
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
UDF
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UDF
0 - 1
NOV
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
COC
5 - 0
UDF
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Idella A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
IDE
3 - 1
RAC
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
IDE
2 - 2
ASP
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
RAV
1 - 1
IDE
22%
22%
57%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
IDE
1 - 1
SPO
64%
20%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
IDE
34%
26%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |