Sax vs Caramanchel A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VED
0 - 4
UDF
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UDF
2 - 1
PEN
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 4
UDF
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALG
2 - 1
UDF
59%
21%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UDF
4 - 1
VIL
70%
17%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caramanchel A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ESI
3 - 2
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ESI
1 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ONI
0 - 3
ESI
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ESI
1 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 0
ESI
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |