Sax vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
HON
1 - 3
UDF
55%
20%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CFP
2 - 0
UDF
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 2
RAV
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
3 - 3
CDC
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 2
UDF
33%
24%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
RAF
4 - 0
CAS
33%
21%
46%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RAF
2 - 1
SPO
23%
24%
52%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RAF
0 - 1
CFP
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RAV
1 - 0
RAF
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CDC
0 - 0
RAF
62%
20%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |