Sax vs Cox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 3
GUS
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 2
UDF
7%
14%
79%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 1
ASP
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
UDF
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 4
UDF
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDC
7 - 0
PRV
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ELD
2 - 4
CDC
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 3
CDC
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
SPD
84%
12%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
RAF
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |