Sax vs UD Aspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
UDF
1 - 0
ALG
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
PIN
0 - 1
UDF
6%
12%
82%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
UDF
3 - 2
MON
50%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ALB
0 - 4
UDF
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
UDF
1 - 2
ALG
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
PET
2 - 2
ASP
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ASP
3 - 1
ALG
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 6
ASP
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 0
PIN
84%
12%
4%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GUS
0 - 3
ASP
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |