Navarres vs Ayelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
NAV
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAN
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 0
ALB
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ANN
1 - 1
NAV
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
4 - 0
FEN
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ayelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AYE
0 - 0
ANN
35%
23%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FEN
2 - 3
AYE
24%
22%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
AYE
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
AYE
5 - 4
BOC
35%
23%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
AYE
28%
23%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |