Vecindario vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ATB
1 - 1
VEC
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VEC
1 - 1
LUG
22%
26%
52%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
VEC
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VEC
1 - 0
CDT
40%
27%
32%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LEG
4 - 0
VEC
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OVI
1 - 0
ALC
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
OVI
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ROD
3 - 0
OVI
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
OVI
0 - 2
ATB
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 2
OVI
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |