Vecindario vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LEG
4 - 0
VEC
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VEC
3 - 1
SSR
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RVB
1 - 0
VEC
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VEC
1 - 1
CDT
8%
21%
72%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VEC
1 - 2
RMC
17%
24%
60%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 1
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
CDT
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 0
OVI
26%
29%
46%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
BNS
2 - 0
CDT
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ATB
0 - 0
CDT
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |