UD Sur vs A. Peñafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
56.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 1
UDS
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 0
RUE
29%
21%
51%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 2
PAR
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CDR
0 - 1
UDS
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
UDS
0 - 3
BOE
26%
22%
53%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
CDR
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BOE
1 - 0
ATL
27%
22%
52%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
CDL
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CEC
2 - 2
ATL
32%
20%
48%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 0
RAY
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |