UD San Fernando vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 0
UDS
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 0
UDS
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
UDS
3 - 0
VSB
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UPR
0 - 0
UDS
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
UDS
0 - 2
PAS
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
UDI
3 - 1
TAM
21%
23%
57%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VSB
1 - 1
UDI
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 1
UPR
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PAS
4 - 0
UDI
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
UDI
0 - 1
SDT
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |